NFL Wild Card Saturday pick, best bet


Let’s renew a division rivalry in what is expected to be a freezing-cold affair as the Ravens host the Steelers in Baltimore.

Snow was initially in the forecast for this game but that has since changed. Other than cold temperatures, we’re looking at a clean bill of football.

The Ravens are big 0.5-point favorites at Caesars Sportsbook this weekend as the league’s No. 1 rated team in defense-adjusted value of average (DVOA).


Mike Tomlin's bunch has lost four straight ad limped into the playoffs.
Mike Tomlin’s bunch has lost four straight and limped into the playoffs. Getty Images

Baltimore defeated the Steelers at home, 34-17, on Dec. 21 but did lose, 18-16, in Pittsburgh on Nov. 17.

It’s the rubber match of a best-of-three this season and the winner moves on to the divisional round.

Steelers vs. Ravens odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Steelers +9.5 (-110) +400 Over 43.5 (-110)
Ravens -9.5 (-110) -550 Under 43.5 (-110)
Odds provided by Caesars

Steelers vs. Ravens prediction

In the latest matchup between these two squads, the Ravens did an excellent job on offense, tallying 6.7 yards per play.

The reality is that no one trusts them after losing to the Chiefs last year as moderate favorites, where they out-gained Kansas City 5.9 yards per play to 4.4..

But betting on the Steelers isn’t exactly worth doing, either.


Lamar Jackson looks to pass all over the Steelers on Saturday.
Lamar Jackson looks to pass all over the Steelers on Saturday. Getty Images

Pittsburgh is playing its worst football of the season, losing four straight games.

The Steelers have the second-worst yards per pass attempt in the NFL during this stretch, behind only the Browns. Yikes.

I’m expecting a strong Ravens performance in the Wild Card round, while assuming they come up short in a big spot later these playoffs.


Betting on the NFL?


Target Derrick Henry’s rushing yards along with the Ravens alternate spread in a Same-Game Parlay to get positive odds.

Henry is Over this mark in three straight games and is getting an obscene workload.

PICK: Derrick Henry over 99.5 rushing yards + Ravens -3.5 ( +118, DraftKings)

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.

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